Forrester Predicts Governments Will Attempt Greater Control Over AI
Governments may intervene more in technology markets due to AI sovereignty concerns, according to Forrester. This could lead to increased obligations on suppliers and fragmentation of technology markets.
Original reporting · forrester.com
Original: “Predictions 2027: AI’s Sovereignty Crisis Drives Governments To Attempt Greater Control”
Read “Predictions 2027: AI’s Sovereignty Crisis Drives Governments To Attempt Greater Control” at Forrester →
How this was written. Voyager Commercial wrote this article with a language model from Forrester’s reporting (model: @cf/meta/llama-3.3-70b-instruct-fp8-fast); it describes that reporting rather than adding to it. The original, linked above, is the full story.
Key points from Forrester’s report
- Governments may intervene more in technology markets due to AI sovereignty concerns, according to Forrester.
- Digital sovereignty requires autonomy and agency to develop and deploy technology independently of foreign governments.
- Two-fifths of OECD countries may implement AI labor-market transition strategies to address the impact of AI on the workforce.
Forrester reported that governments have been trying to regulate technology power and reduce dependence on it for the past two years. However, the rise of AI has intensified sovereignty concerns, making governments want to retain control over technology that affects people's daily lives.
According to Forrester, digital sovereignty requires autonomy and agency to develop and deploy technology independently of foreign governments. But no nation can achieve this alone, and alliances, partnerships, and open technologies are needed to manage dependencies.
The Global Sovereignty Forecast shows that governments will discover how little control they have over technology underpinning public services, leading to more intervention and fragmentation of technology markets. This may lead to increased obligations on suppliers and frustration for consumers.
Forrester predicts that in 2027, political intervention will derail $40 billion in government technology procurement, and at least one G7 country will air-gap a sensitive system after an autonomous AI attack. This is because governments will increasingly ask about the ownership and control of technology.
Two-fifths of OECD countries may implement AI labor-market transition strategies, combining workforce planning, reskilling, and social protections. This is a sovereignty issue, as a nation without the people required to build and operate AI systems is not technologically sovereign.
Digital sovereignty cannot mean technological self-sufficiency, but rather exercising strategic agency and knowing what must remain under national control. Forrester's Predictions 2027 report provides more detail on these predictions and additional ones.
Questions and answers
What is driving governments to attempt greater control over AI?
The rise of AI has intensified sovereignty concerns, making governments want to retain control over technology that affects people's daily lives.
What is digital sovereignty, and how can it be achieved?
Digital sovereignty requires autonomy and agency to develop and deploy technology independently of foreign governments, but no nation can achieve this alone, and alliances, partnerships, and open technologies are needed to manage dependencies.
How will AI affect the workforce, and what are governments doing to address this?
AI will change occupations and how workers move between them, and two-fifths of OECD countries may implement AI labor-market transition strategies to address this issue.
